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Why AI data centers are being blocked: A project-level examination

Why AI data centers are being blocked: A project-level examination

Why AI data centers are being blocked: A project-level examination

Power

power

Energy & Electricity

energy-electricity

Environmental Justice

environmental-justice

5 min. read

Map of where AI data centers are being blocked in the US from 2024 to 2026

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      Key takeaways

      • Community opposition has blocked, withdrawn, or stalled more than $170 billion in announced AI data center investment across 20 US states since January 2024. The pace is accelerating: 6 cancellations in 2024, 25 in 2025, and more than 20 additional cancellations by May 15, 2026.

      • Data center opposition is bipartisan. It spans red and blue counties, every region, and multiple grid operators, with nearly two-thirds of the blocked investment sitting in counties that voted for Donald Trump in 2024. 

      • Process and transparency, more than resource concerns alone, drive the fastest and most durable opposition. How a developer runs the engagement process shapes both community sentiment and the project’s ultimate success.

      Explore the map: Data center opposition by location

      All 46 US AI data center projects blocked, withdrawn, or stalled by community opposition, January 1, 2024 – May 15, 2026. Source: Carbon Direct.

      The interactive map plots all 46 projects, colored by outcome and sized by announced investment. Switch the county-level context layer to view demographic burden, race, income, political lean, and grid region.


      Explore the full interactive map → 


      How many AI data center projects have been cancelled? 

      Between January 1, 2024 and May 15, 2026, community opposition blocked, withdrew, or stalled 46 announced AI data center projects across 20 US states, representing more than $170 billion in announced investment. These values are disclosed or derived for 35 of the 46 projects; the remaining 11 carry no public figure.

      The pace of successful opposition has accelerated sharply. Cancellations rose from 6 in 2024 to 25 in 2025. The first five months of 2026 added more than 20 additional cancellations, the fastest stretch on record. 

      Virginia leads the state count with 11 blocked projects, followed by Indiana with 7 and Texas with 5. Together, those three states account for roughly half of all cancellations in the dataset. The PJM grid region carries the largest single share of blocked investment at $70 billion across 13 projects, followed by MISO at $37 billion.

      Is opposition to data centers bipartisan?

      Yes. The opposition wave crosses party lines on every measure we examined. Republican-leaning counties hosted 28 of the 46 host counties (61%), Democratic-leaning counties hosted 16 (35%), and 2 fell within five points.

      Weighted by announced investment, about two-thirds of blocked dollars sat in Republican-voting counties. Strong Republican counties (those Trump won by more than 15 points) account for $99 billion across 23 projects. Strong Democratic counties account for $29 billion across 9 projects. The remaining $44 billion spans Lean Republican, Tossup, and Lean Democratic counties.

      Why are communities opposing data centers?

      Communities raise a consistent set of concerns across the country: water demand, electricity rates, air quality where developers propose gas co-generation, rural character, and a lack of transparency in the development process. 

      Across the seven cases that we studied in depth, process, and transparency concerns were the most consistently cited factors associated with opposition. Non-disclosure agreements between developers and local officials, ownership structures in which the ultimate end-user was not publicly identified, and closed-door pre-application negotiations produce opposition faster and more durably than any other concern.

      The pattern holds across very different communities: a diffuse civic mobilization in rural Georgia, an NGO water coalition in a Texas college town, a conservation coalition anchored by the Southern Environmental Law Center in Southside, Virginia, and an institutional civic organization with legal-expert and celebrity support in northern Virginia. Each produced the same outcome, and each flagged process and transparency as a dominant or top-three concern in the public record.

      By the time a project reaches its first public hearing against organized community opposition, the political path of the project is largely set. Late-stage benefits packages consistently fail to reverse that trajectory. Communities read them as concessions, not commitments.

      How we built this opposition map: Methodology and sources

      The project-by-project map of data center opposition draws on Carbon Direct's white paper, Community Opposition to AI Data Centers: Lessons Learned. The 46-project universe covers US-based AI data center projects blocked, withdrawn, or stalled between January 1, 2024 and May 15, 2026. 

      Community context uses EPA EJScreen v2.3 (2024) for demographic and environmental burden indicators, ACS 2019-2023 five-year estimates for income context, 2024 county presidential returns for political composition, and HIFLD ISO/RTO boundaries for grid regions.

      Assess community opposition risk before you site

      Community opposition is now a structural feature of the AI data center siting environment. The patterns are clear enough to act on now. Carbon Direct's Community Impacts team helps developers and capital partners implement responsible development standards through pre-siting community intelligence, calibration of benefits design to specific community contexts, and building the verification scaffolding that turns commitments into outcomes. 

      To go deeper, read the full white paper.

      Frequently asked questions about data center opposition

      Which states are banning data centers?

      The first statewide moratoriums on data centers have arrived. In July 2026, Governor Hochul signed the country's first statewide moratorium, an executive order pausing state environmental permits for up to one year for new data centers of 50 MW or more. Texas followed weeks later, halting approvals of new data center grid connections until state regulators audit their power, water, tax, and ownership details. This is a snapshot from August 2026, and we will likely see additional changes in the months ahead.

      The local picture is more developed. Individual municipalities and counties have adopted moratoria and zoning ordinance amendments that block or restrict data centers within their jurisdictions. The City of Peculiar, Missouri removed data centers from its light-industrial zoning entirely. Monroe County, Georgia, and Jones County, Georgia both adopted moratoria after project denials in 2025. Cassville Township, Wisconsin, and San Marcos, Texas adopted zoning and code amendments in 2026. State legislatures in Virginia, Indiana, Texas, and Missouri have taken up data center siting, ratepayer, and permitting legislation, though most bills remain in progress rather than enacted.

      How much data center investment has been blocked?

      More than $170 billion in announced AI data center investment has been blocked, withdrawn, or stalled by community opposition across 46 projects and 20 US states between January 1, 2024 and May 15, 2026. 

      We arrive at this figure from data on 35 of the 46 projects; 11 have no publicly disclosed investment value. The pace has accelerated sharply: 6 cancellations in 2024, 25 in 2025, and more than 20 additional cancellations in the first five months of 2026 alone. Virginia leads the state count with 11 projects. The PJM grid region carries the largest single share of blocked capacity at $70 billion across 13 projects.

      What causes a data center project to be cancelled by community opposition?

      As of August 2026, communities cite a consistent set of concerns across cancelled projects: water demand, grid strain and residential rate impacts, air quality where developers propose gas-fired co-generation, rural character and farmland conversion, and lack of transparency in the development process. 

      In the seven cases we studied in depth, process and transparency were together the most consistent driver of opposition. Non-disclosure agreements between developers and local officials, shell LLC ownership structures that conceal the end-user, and closed-door pre-application negotiations produce faster and more durable opposition than any single resource concern. Late-stage benefits packages consistently fail once that transparency-driven frame has formed.

      Planning a project or evaluating a portfolio? Talk to Carbon Direct's Community Impacts team about pre-siting community risk, or read the full white paper.

      Whitepaper

      Community Opposition to AI Data Centers: Lessons Learned

      Data center community opposition has stalled $170B in US projects. Carbon Direct examines why, and what developers can do differently.

      Whitepaper

      Community Opposition to AI Data Centers: Lessons Learned

      Data center community opposition has stalled $170B in US projects. Carbon Direct examines why, and what developers can do differently.

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